Wednesday 26

08:15 – 09:15



09:15 – 09:45

Opening Ceremony:
Joaquín Plumet, Vice-chancellor of the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM),
Daniel Cano, President of the Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia (AEMET)
Eduardo Balguerías, Director of the Instituto Español de Oceanografía (IEO)


Regional processes and climate change impacts

Chair: P. Lionello

09:45 – 10:15


The impact of large-scale patterns (NAO, EA, SCAN) on renewable energy
resources in Iberia (invited)

R. Trigo


10:15 – 10:30


Aerosol radiative impact on the Mediterranean climate in coupled
atmosphere-ocean regional climate simulations

P. Nabat et al.


10:30 – 10:45


Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation in the Mediterranean area
taking into account non-stationarities

E. Hertig and J. Jacobeit

10:45 – 11:00


Seasonal feedbacks models for the Western Mediterranean variability:
inferences for predictions

M. J. Ortiz-Bevià et al.


11:00 – 11:30

Coffee break


11:30 – 12:00


Summer heat and drought in continental midlatitudes:
of soil moisture and other things (invited)

F. D’Andrea


12:00 – 12:15

Climate variability and summer forest fires in a Mediterranean context:
the case of Catalonia

R. Marcos et al.


12:15 – 12:30


Statistical downscaling technique application to a phytoclimatic study for
Spanish National Parks

J. García-López et al.


12:30 – 12:45



Future evolution of Growing Grape Indexes: a study of future climate scenarios
on Spanish vineyards using Climate Models under a two-step analog
statistical downscaling

E. Gaitán et al.



12:45 – 13:00

Climate change and political instability: Syria’s drought, migration and its
contribution to the uprising of 2011

C. Kelley et al.


13:00 – 14:30



Modelling of the Mediterranean climate system and climate projections

Chair: S. Planton


14:30 – 15:00


The climate change signal in the Mediterranean area as obtained with a set of regional
projections performed with a realistic representation of the Mediterranean Sea


S. Gualdi

15:00 – 15:15

Residual tidal currents in the Gulf of Cadiz: Do they drive the Mediterranean Outflow to
some extent?

A. Izquierdo and U.  Mikolajewicz

15:15 – 15:30


Modelling the Mediterranean region: Evaluation of air-sea fluxes
in the perspective of ocean-atmosphere coupling

G. Liguori et al.

15:30 – 15:45


What numerical models and observations can and cannot tell us about
Mediterranean Sea marine climate

G. Jordà et al.

15:45 – 16:15

Coffee break


16:15 – 16:45

Simulation of extreme events in climate projections (invited)

M. Déqué

16:45 – 17:00


Combined effect of irrigation and managed water reservoirs
on the Mediterranean climate

M. Zampieri et al.

17:00 – 17:15


Stochastic rainfall downscaling of the PROTHEUS regional climate model

D. D’Onofrio et al.

17:15 – 17:30


Wind speed evolution study for Iberian peninsula and Baleares
in the XXI century

G. Gómez et al.

17:30 – 17:45


Regional scenarios for the Spanish climate change adaptation plan
(PNACC-2012): dynamical downscaling results

M. A. Gaertner et al.


Ice breaker reception



Thursday 27

Circulation and mean sea level of the Mediterranean Sea

Chairs: D. Gomis and A. Theocharis

09:00 – 09:30


The Mediterranean Sea is getting saltier (invited)


H. L. Bryden and K. Schroeder

09:30 – 09:45


Identification of the climate modes driving present Mediterranean
sea level variability

A. Martínez-Asensio et al.

09:45 – 10:00


Surprises and confirmations in the impact of global warming on
the thermal stratification of the Mediterranean Sea

I. Rivetti et al


10:00 – 10:15

Resolving explicitly the Black Sea flow into the Mediterranean Sea with a fully coupled
atmosphere-ocean model

A. Elizalde et al.

10:15 – 10:30


Deep-water variability and inter-basin interactions in the Eastern
Mediterranean Sea

E. Özsoy et al.


10:30 – 11:00



Numerical study on the sensitivity of Mediterranean thermohaline
circulation to the resolution adopted at Gibraltar and tidal forcing (invited)

G. Sannino



11:00 – 11:30

Coffee break


11:30 – 11:45


Climate simulations of the 20th and 21st centuries Mediterranean
Sea and Iberian Peninsula waters

R. Aznar et al.


11:45 – 12:00


Climate change scenarios in the Mediterranean Sea from a regional
ocean model

E. Padorno et al.


12:00 – 12:15


Sensitivity of the Mediterranean Sea to boundary forcings in a 21st century
climate change scenario

F. Adloff et al.


12:15 – 12:30


Towards a warmer and more saline Mediterranean Sea: the impact
on mean sea level

D. Gomis and G. Jordà

12:30 – 13:00


Mediterranean sea level under climate change scenarios: from regional to
local scales (invited)

M. Marcos


13:00 – 14:30




14:30 – 16:30


Poster Session (see list of Posters below), with Coffee service



Paleoclimate of the Mediterranean region

Chairs: I. Cacho and B. Valero

16:30 – 17:00

Palaeoclimatic evidence from the Mediterranean (invited)

J. Luterbacher

17:00 – 17:30


Holocene climate variability and change in the Mediterranean region (invited)

N. Roberts


17:30 – 17:45


Towards the reconstruction of late Holocene extreme climatic events in the
Gulf of Genoa, Ligurian Sea

J. Kaiser et al.



Conference dinner



Friday 28

09:00 – 09:30

Climate in the last 2 millennia: model data comparison (invited)

F. González-Rouco

09:30 – 09:45


European Summer Temperature Variations over the Past Millennium

J. P. Werner et al.


09:45 – 10:00



Temperature reconstructions and paleoceanographic changes during the last
2 millenia in the north Aegean Sea (northeastern Mediterranean)

A. Gogou et al.



10:00 – 10:15


Climatic variations across the Mediterranean Basin reconstructed from pollen
and vegetation model

J. Guiot


10:15 – 10:30



Vegetation dynamics and climate instabilities during the Mid Pleistocene Transition:
why did Mediterranean climate experience an anomalously long MIS 31/30

S. Joannin et al.



10:30 – 11:00


The Holocene in the context of previous interglacials: the Iberian margin (invited)

B. Martrat


Climate variability, trends and extremes

Chairs: I. Bladé and E. Xoplaki

11:00 – 11:30

Coffee break


11:30 – 12:00


Reconstructing the past, projecting the future: a regional earth system
perspective for the Mediterranean region (invited)

A. Dell’Aquila


12:00 – 12:15


Consistency of recently observed trends over the Mediterranean region with
climate change projections

A. Barkhordarian et al.


12:15 – 12:45


Drought in Mediterranean Europe: future projections from multiple
climate models (invited)

T. Osborn


12:45 – 13:00


The summer North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models and
related uncertaintiesin projected summer drying in Europe

I. Bladé et al.


13:00 – 13:15


CMIP5 Mediterranean precipitation climatology and trend since 1950,
natural and externally forced

C. Kelley et al.


13:15 – 14:45



14:45 – 15:15


Dynamics of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean region (invited)

A. Toreti


15:15 – 15:30


Oceanic heatwaves in Mediterranean Sea. Analysis of the last decades and
projections for the XXIst century

G. Jordà and D. Gomis

15:30 – 15:45


Interdecadal Changes in the Links between Mediterranean Evaporation and
Regional Atmospheric Dynamics and Precipitation

I. I. Zveryaev et al.


15:45 – 16:15

Coffee break


16:15 – 16:30


Nonstationary relationship between the Euro-Mediterranean rainfall
and the El Niño phenomenon

J. López-Parages and

B. Rodríguez-Fonseca

16:30 – 17:00



Summer circulation in the eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East: influence
from the South Asia monsoon and midlatitude dynamics (invited)

E. Tyrlis



17:00 – 17:15


Impact of climate change on the Figeh Spring system in Damacsus /Syria

G. Smiatek et al.


Poster Session


Paleoclimate of the Mediterranean region

Pollen-vegetation calibration and pollen-based climate reconstruction from modern
surface samples: a prior survey to assess the impact of extreme events on West
Mediterranean vegetation

J. Azuara et al.



Contrasting patterns of climatic changes during the Holocene in central Mediterranean
area (Italy) reconstructed from pollen data

O. Peyron et al.


Holocene vegetation and climate changes recorded at Lake Trifoglietti in southern Italy

S. Joannin et al.


Climate variability during the Holocene inferred from northeastern Iberian speleothems

A. Moreno et al.


Climate variability and human activities impact on Mediterranean environment during
the Holocene, along a west-east transect.

G. Meunier et al.


Evidence for warm and humid Mid-Holocene in the Aegean and northern
Levantine Seas (Greece, NE Mediterranean)

M. V. Triantaphyllou et al.


Mediterranean past weather through English Logbooks. (1675-1850)

M. C: Álvarez-Castro et al.

Climate variability, trends and extremes

Variability of Surface Winds in Ten Major Cities of Turkey

Y. Unal and S. Incecik

Seasonal changes in daily precipitation extremes in mainland Portugal from 1941 to 2007

A. M. Ramos et al.


Seasonal Prediction of climate extreme events: extreme precipitation over the western
mediterranean area

A. Pintó


Spatial differences of PM10 concentration across Spain with respect to established legal
limits and weather types

A. Santurtun et al.


The development of Fohn winds due to Saharan dust outbreaks in Crete Island, Greece

P. T. Nastos and A. Bleta


Detected Changes in spatio-temporal drought characteristics in Syria over last five decades

S. Mathbout and M. Mohsen


Weather Types effects on Autumn and Spring monthly precipitation of Iberian Peninsula

N. Cortesi et al.


Robust precipitation changes over the Mediterranean region in observations
and CMIP3 models

D. Fortuny and I. Bladé


Analysis of precipitation along the North African and Middle East shore of the
Mediterranean Region

C. Pizzigalli et al.


Simulation of Past Mediterranean Warming in CMIP5 Models

P. Gámez and I. Bladé

Decadal variability of precipitation in the Iberian Peninsula since the mid-19th century

S. Fernández-Montes et al.


Decadal to interannual influence of the Mediterranean SST on the Sahel precipitation

M. Gaetani et al.


Comparison of NAO projections of CMIP5 derived from geopotential and sea level pressure

N. González Reviriego et al.


Euro-Atlantic variability modes: How much progress has been made from CMIP3 to CMIP5?

M. J. Casado et al.


Evaluation of the dynamical downscaling of the impact of the NAO on the wind energy resources
over the western Mediterranean region for present climate and climate change conditions

T. Losada et al.



The snow advance index influence on the winter streamflow in Douro’s basin (Spain)

J. M. Hidalgo-Muñoz et al.


The Climate Shift and the impact of the ENSO signal on the Southwestern Europe spring rainfall

I. Iglesias et al.


The part of Euro-Atlantic Teleconnection Patterns and 500hPa Weather Types in the Mediterranean
significant rainfall decreases (1950-2000)

C. Norrant-Romand and
A. Douguédroit

Long-term trends of extreme climate events over Alexandria region, Egypt

M. A. Said et al.


Drought Assessment for the Duero Basin (Central Spain) by means of Multivariate
Extreme Value Statistics

M. Kallache et al.


Evaluation of Extreme precipitations over Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands using several
CMIP5 Earth System Models: a comparative of historical periods using statistical downscaling

R. Monjo et al.



El Niño Impacts on maize production in Spain

M. Capa-Morocho et al.

Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivošije) and associated
atmospheric circulation types

V. Ducić et al.


Defining Current Climate Regions of Turkey by a Hierarchical Clustering Method
with an Extended Meteorological Database

I. Batmaz et al.


Regional processes and climate change impacts

Objectif Terre: Mediterranean Basin (OT-Med), an initiative for studying interactions
between global change and Mediterranean societies

J. Guiot


Multi-model calibration and combination of seasonal sea surface temperature
forecasts over three different tropical regions

L. R. Lague et al.


Wildfire Risk in the Mediterranean under the Future Climate

M. Dubrovsky et al.

Evaluation of the SST as a predictor for Catalan river flow

M. Hernández-Martínez et al.

Response of alpine glaciers in north-western Italian Alps for different climate change scenarios

R. Bonanno et al.


Circulation and mean sea level of the Mediterranean Sea

Climate projections of extreme storm surges in the Mediterranean Sea.

D. Conte and P. Lionello

The effects of decadal variability in the thermohaline circulation and properties of the
Eastern Mediterranean on long term air-sea interaction

G. Krokos et al.


Optimal spatio-temporal design of an hydrographic sampling aimed to monitor climate
change in the Mediterranean Sea

J. Llasses et al.


Synoptic composite means and anomalies of meteorological parameters associated
with high sea waves in the Eastern Mediterranean

P.T. Nastos and D.E. Sifnioti



Multidecadal variability of Mediterranean sea level in connection with local and remote
atmospheric and marine parameters

F. Raicich


Global and regional factors contributing to the past and future sea level rise in the Adriatic Sea

L. Scarascia and P. Lionello


Impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on zooplankton community in
the waters of Alexandria, Egypt

H. Y. Zakaria and
M. A. Said


Modelling of the Mediterranean climate system and climate projections

At about the consistency of precipitation trend validated by models in the Iberian Peninsula
(period 1961-2000)

N. Cortesi et al.


Statistical Downscaling of Precipitation in Spain for the 21st Century Using a Multi-model Ensemble

M. Frugone et al.


Regional modeling of dry spells characteristics over the Mediterranean basin for present
and future climate conditions

E. Sánchez and
N. López de la Franca

Evaluation of climate models based on physical processes

M. C. Sánchez et al.


Organizers, sponsors, collaborators